POSITRACTION: ‘Breaking the cycle of homelessness’ by Christian-based nonprofit2018-Nov-25https://www.goodnewsnetwork.org/acres-of-hope-intro/ Community of Tiny Homes Breaks Cycle of Addiction and Homelessness for Single Moms By Good News Network-Nov 11, 2018 *** begin quote *** Homeless single moms are breaking the cycle of addiction and reuniting with their children thanks to a community of tiny homes and the services provided here. Acres of Hope allows the women to live in one of ten cottages for up to two years, accessing the aid that helps them finish their education, clear criminal records, get higher paying jobs, find permanent housing—and, most importantly, address the root causes of their addiction, so they can achieve personal success. Instead of being shuffled from program to program without any real change, this Christian-based nonprofit in Auburn, California, aims for life-changing transformation. The staff and volunteers invest heavily in their lives by providing encouragement, practical life-skills training, job skills, mentoring and spiritual direction. “We give them the opportunity to breathe and exit survival-mode,” says Executive Director Lisa Risdal. “Our graduates have become strong independent women who are also loving and nurturing mothers.” “‘Breaking the cycle of homelessness’ aren’t just words at Acres of Hope—it’s really happening.” Plenty of women in the last ten years who have ‘graduated’ can testify to its effectiveness. *** end quote *** Why can’t “we” encourage this in more places? Podcast host Jason Stapleton proposed that a for profit entity run military style barracks. It’s a problem that the Gooferment created and stands in the way of “civil society” solutions. After all if the problem is solved without Gooferment, then what will all the politicians and bureaucrats do? # - # - # - # - # |
JOBIT: Corless, James [MC1967 RIP] 2018-Nov-192018-Nov-25https://www.legacy.com/obituaries/hartfordcourant/ obituary.aspx?n=james-corless&pid=190814799&fhid=40480 James Corless 1946 - 2018 Obituary James Corless, loving husband, devoted father, proud papa, brother, uncle, and friend, died peacefully in his home on Monday, November 19, 2018. Jim was born on August 27, 1946, and grew up in the Greenpoint section of Brooklyn. He was the son of Vincent Corless and Loretta Loonie Corless, and the younger brother of Patricia (Corless) Roan. Having grown up in Brooklyn, he held onto his New York pride his entire life. A true student of the world, Jim was always eager to learn. His passion for education led to a Bachelor of Science and a Master of Science in Chemical Engineering from Manhattan College. Later, he graduated from the Physician Associate Program at Yale University. Jim also earned a Master of Science in Biomedical Engineering from the Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute and a Master of Business Administration from the University of Connecticut. Jim met the love of his life and best friend, Patti McDonald, in February of 1976. Shortly after meeting, they married and moved to Chicago. They traveled back east to permanently settle in Connecticut, where they raised three girls, Emily, Annie, and Caitlin. Years later, he welcomed three sons-in-law, Kevin Byam, Ryan Lane, and Tim Burgher, into his family. Jim's life was further enriched by the births of his five amazing grandchildren, Nolan, Charlotte, Cora, Violet, and Hannah. Jim dearly missed his sister, Patricia Corless Roan, and his great friend and brother-in-law, Jimmy Roan. Jim loved Patti's sister, Phyllis Finnerty, and her husband, Richard; and Patti's late brother, George McDonald, and his wife, Francine. Jim was also blessed with many nephews, nieces, grandnephews, and grandnieces. He had exceptional friends with whom he shared good times and lots of laughs. A physician assistant for thirty-six years, caring for children was Jim's passion. At work, he was known for his patience, his calm demeanor, his skill, and his kindness. Over the course of his career, he cared for countless newborn babies and children. Jim worked at New Britain General Hospital, Newington Children's Hospital, and the Connecticut Children's Medical Center at Waterbury Hospital. Jim's interests were as wide as his love was deep. He filled his home with music and song. He enjoyed watching his daughters play soccer and run track, and he was a fan of the New York Yankees. Jim's curious mind made him eager to learn how everything worked. He took on new challenges. He juggled, he cooked, he researched his family's genealogy, and he even attempted to learn to ride a unicycle. He liked eating at diners and food trucks, and he enjoyed sampling the foods of other countries. He was a man of many hobbies and passions, but above all things, Jim loved spending time with his family and friends. Jim's family wishes to thank the staff and volunteers of the Hartford Healthcare Cancer Institute in New Britain and the Hartford HealthCare at Home Hospice Care for the support and care he received. In lieu of flowers, donations in memory of Jim can be made to the Connecticut Children's Medical Center Foundation, 282 Washington St., Hartford, CT 06106 or www.connecticutchildrensfoundation.org A Mass of Christian Burial in celebration of Jim's life will be held at 10:00 a.m. on Wednesday, November 28, 2018, meeting directly at Saint Patrick-Saint Anthony Church, 285 Church St., Hartford. Family and friends may gather on Tuesday evening from 5-8 p.m. at Plainville Funeral Home, 81 Broad St, Plainville. For online expressions of sympathy, please visit www.PLAINVILLEFUNERALHOME.com Published in The Hartford Courant on Nov. 24, 2018 #-#-# Corless, James [MC???? RIP] Guestbook: Same link # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-24 @ 17:01 Colon, Philip J. (MC1962) added this request to his prayer circle. # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-26 @ 23:08 Dear John, I believe that James is a member of the Class of 1967. May He Rest In Peace. Mike McEneney, Mike (MC1953) [JR: Thanks, Mike. Much appreciated.] Corless, James [MC1967 RIP] # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-26 @ 23:09 |
JLINKEDIN: Herrera, Karina [MC2011] Lab-Site Teacher at Success Academy2018-Nov-25https://www.linkedin.com/in/kth19/ Herrera, Karina [MC????] Lab-Site Teacher at Success Academy Charter Schools Greater New York City Area # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-25 @ 15:06 Dear John, I believe that Karina is member of the class of 2011. Mike McEneney, Mike (MC1953) [JR: Thanks, Mike. Much appreciated.] Herrera, Karina [MC2011] # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-26 @ 23:10 |
JFACEBOOK: Pettit, Amanda [MC2012] engaged2018-Nov-26Pettit, Amanda [MC????] # - # - # - # - # Dear John, I believe that Amanda is a member of the Class of 2012, and Michael is a member of of the Class of 2011. Mike McEneney, Mike (MC1953) [JR: Thanks, Mike. Much appreciated.] Pettit, Amanda [MC2012] # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-26 @ 23:04 |
JUPDATE: McCourt, Kevin [MC1970] id-ed by McEneney, Mike (MC1953)2018-Nov-28JLINKEDIN: McCourt, Kevin [MC1970] Lead Dev Rep @ ClassLink 2018-Nov-22 https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevin-mccourt-789099175/ McCourt, Kevin [MC????] Lead Development Rep at ClassLink ClassLink=6000+Single Sign-on APPS # - # - # - # - # Dear John, I believe that Kevin is a member of the Class of 1970. Mike McEneney, Mike (MC1953) [JR: Thanks, Mike. Much appreciated.] McCourt, Kevin [MC1970] # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-28 @ 20:21 |
JOBIT: Pagnozzi, Paul Joseph [MC???? RIP] 2018-Nov-242018-Nov-28https://www.legacy.com/obituaries/dailyfreeman/obituary.aspx? n=paul-joseph-pagnozzi&pid=190831792&fhid=27364 Paul Joseph Pagnozzi 1961 - 2018 Obituary HURLEY- Dr. Paul Joseph Pagnozzi (Pags), 57, of Hurley, N.Y., died unexpectedly on Saturday, Nov. 24, 2018, at Health Alliance Hospital, Broadway Campus, Kingston, N.Y. He was born on Nov. 21, 1961 in Nyack, N.Y., and was the son of the late Joseph and Anna Pagnozzi. Paul was a graduate of Albertus Magnus High School in Bardonia, N.Y., earned his Bachelor of Science from Manhattan College in Bronx, N.Y., graduated from New York Medical College in Valhalla, N.Y., specializing in Nephrology and Internal Medicine. After retiring from his medical practice, Paul earned his Masters of Engineering in Civil and Environmental Engineering from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute in Troy, N.Y. Dr. Pagnozzi was a founding partner of the Grand Street Medical Associates in Kingston, N.Y., retiring a year and a half ago. He was now working in the field of Environmental Engineering at Seed Solar and Engineering in Troy, N.Y., and was an Adjunct Professor at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute in Troy, N.Y. Paul was a parishioner of the Immaculate Conception Roman Catholic Church, member of the Kingston Rotary Club, deeply involved with Alcoholics Anonymous, globe trotting engineer with Engineers Without Borders, professional mentor of the Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute chapter of Engineers Without Borders, founding member of the Rondout Rowing Club, and devoted member to the YMCA, especially his beloved YMCA Camps Seewackamano and Chingachgook. He sat on the boards of countless organizations and participated fully and enthusiastically in so many aspects of his communities. Dr. Pagnozzi impacted the lives of so many and was universally adored by everyone who had the honor to meet him. He had varied and profound musical tastes and was a talented self taught pianist and guitarist who loved to jam with and for his friends and family. He was a world traveler and voracious reader who left stacks of books on every surface of his house. He loved the Adirondack Mountains and recently purchased property there to better enjoy this beloved region. He arguably loved his cat Dalton (Eep) more than his children and took great pride in showing off her fetching abilities to anyone visiting. Paul had a wicked, profound, and infectious sense of humor and was one of those rare individuals who could truly make anyone laugh in any situation. He had a phenomenal cowboy boot collection he proudly repaired himself over the years and was notorious for stomping down the halls of the hospital in them accompanied by booming laughter. He was the rock of stability and wisdom for countless people in his life and everyone who knew him is testament to the depth of love and gratitude he had for life. He is survived by children, Leah Pagnozzi and Daniel Pagnozzi; his fiancé, Gail Young; his sister, Mia Pagnozzi; sister, Julie Pagnozzi; his former wife, Diane Page; and truly countless friends in all the corners of the world. Entrusted to Keyser Funeral & Cremation Service, 326 Albany Avenue, Kingston, N.Y., 12401. The family will receive their friends on Wednesday and Thursday, Nov. 28 and 29, 2018, from 4 to 8 p.m. A Mass of Christian Burial will be Celebrated on Friday, Nov. 30, 2018, at 11 a.m. at Immaculate Conception Roman Catholic Church. Burial to follow at Montrepose Cemetery. For those who wish, in honor of Paul and in lieu of flowers, his family requests contributions be made to Engineers Without Borders, the YMCA Kingston and Ulster, and the Rotary Club of Kingston in Paul's memory. A tribute for Paul may be found at www.KeyserFuneralService.com, where you may leave memories and expressions of sympathy for his family. Published in the Daily Freeman on Nov. 27, 2018 #-#-# Pagnozzi, Paul Joseph [MC???? RIP] Guestbook: Same link # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-28 @ 23:33 |
JNEWS: Pepe, Thomas A. [MC1974] Vice-chair CCM BoT2018-Nov-28https://www.tapinto.net/towns/morristown/articles/ county-college-of-morris-trustees-elect-officers-mo rristown-man-and-morris-township-woman-re-elected County College of Morris Trustees Elect Officers; Morristown Man and Morris Township Woman Re-Elected By KATHLEEN BRUNET EAGAN, CCM November 28, 2018 at 5:17 PM *** begin quote *** RANDOLPH, NJ — The County College of Morris (CCM) Board of Trustees held its annual reorganization meeting on November 19 and elected its officers. Elected to serve a second year in their positions were Paul R. Licitra, of Flanders, as chair; Thomas A. Pepe, of Morristown, as vice chair; Jeffrey M. Advokat, Esq., of Denville, as treasurer; and Dr. Barbara Lorfink Hadzima, of Morris Township, as secretary. *** and *** Before retiring, Pepe served as chief financial officer for Communications Strategies, Inc., a family-owned public relations and marketing agency. He also is a member of the CCM Foundation Board of Directors. Included among his other community involvement, he is a former president of the Patriot’s Path Council, Boy Scouts of America, and serves as chair and trustee of NORWESCAP, the community action program of Northwest New Jersey. He earned his bachelor’s degree in math from Manhattan College and MBA in finance from Adelphi University. *** end quote *** Pepe, Thomas A. [MC????] # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-28 @ 23:45 Dear John, I believe that Thomas is a member of the Class of 1974. Mike McEneney, Mike (MC1953) [JR: Thanks, Mike. Much appreciated.] Pepe, Thomas A. [MC1974] # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-29 @ 13:06 |
JOBIT: Armfield, Raymond Jr. [MC1985 RIP] 2018-Nov-052018-Nov-28http://www.watertowndailytimes.com/obit/raymond-armfield-jr-20181128 Raymond Armfield Jr. PUBLISHED: WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 28, 2018 AT 4:49 PM Long Island - Raymond Armfield Jr. 52 of Douglaston N.Y. passed thru Heavens gates at the V.A. Hospital in Northport N.Y. peacefully with his family by his side on November 5th 2018. He was born in Staten Island December 18, 1966, son of Raymond Armfield Sr. and Helen Tellefsen. He graduated high school from Susan B. Wagner School in 1983 and graduated college at Manhattan College in 1985. Raymond enlisted in the U.S. Army Airborne School in 1985. Upon return from the military in 1987 he worked at Total Systems in Columbus GA returning to Long Island in 2002 working for Data Conversions Laboratory until the present retiring due to health problems. He had a ready smile for everyone, loved his family dearly, and a special love for animals with Zebra’s being his favorite. Ray is survived by his companion Joe Camaratta Jr. and Licia Camaratta whom he helped care for and loved dearly. His father and mother (Marilyn Gydesen Armfield) Lyons Falls, N.Y. Sister’s Dawn Armfield (Companion Mark Peters) Adams, N.Y., Carol Ann Thomas (Husband David) Adams, N.Y., Jessie Armfield Watertown, N.Y., Step sister Melissa Griffin (Husband Steven) Fowlerville N.Y., Step Brother David Gydesen (wife Brenda) Glenfield, N.Y., several Nephews, Nieces, cousins, and his extended Camarrata families who he loved so much. Funeral was November 21st, 2018 at 9:45a.am. at St. Anastasia’s Church Douglaston, N.Y. and a memorial service is being held on Saturday Dec. 1st 2018 at St. John’s Catholic Church in Lyons Falls NY for our local families and friends, with a luncheon immediately following in the dining room of the church. #-#-# Armfield, Raymond Jr. [MC1985 RIP] Guestbook: None cited # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-28 @ 23:47 |
PRAYERSREQUESTED: Colon, Philip J. (MC1962) prays for Cathie2018-Nov-24Good Evening All, Your prayers are asked for Mike McEneney's Wife, Cathie. Cathie, a good Friend to several of us is in Hospital. She is having difficulty breathing and experiencing High Blood Pressure. Please raise the volume for this good Woman? Cathie is a fighter and someone who does not complain no matter what ails her. We need to pray that the Doctors quickly discover what is causing her distress and are able to treat the cause. Please keep Cathie, Mike and their Family in your prayers. Thank you. God Bless. Colon, Philip J. (MC1962) # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-24 @ 17:22 PRAYERSREQUESTED: Colon, Philip J. (MC1962) prays for Cathie 2018-Nov-29 Good Evening All, Mike McEneney ha shared the following update on Cathie. Cathie is doing a little better but is still in Hospital. In spite of medications administerd medications and Oxygen, Cathie continues to be having difficulty breathing. The Doctors have ordered some additional tests this. Please keep the volume up for Cathie and Mike. And as Mike says, .......thank you for your prayers and please keep the prayers coming. Thank you. God Bless. Colon, Philip J. (MC1962) # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-29 @ 09:46 |
PRAYERSREQUESTED: Colon, Philip J. (MC1962) prays for Maureen2018-Nov-29Good Morning All, Peter Monaco, a good Friend to several of us and a Member of our Retreat Team asks for our prayers for his Mom. Mrs. Monaco went into hospital on Tuesday Morning diagnosed with Pneumonia. Shortly thereafter, Low Blood Pressure resulted in her being admitted into ICU where she is now fighting for her life. Without proper Blood Flow, the other organs are struggling. Mrs. Monaco is now under sedation. Please raise the volume for Maureen. We pray that she recovers completely free of complication. We pray for Peter, his Brother, whom I met at our Retreat, and their Family during this time of uncertainty and loving concern. Please keep the volume up. Thank you. God Bless. Colon, Philip J. (MC1962) # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-29 @ 13:09 |
PRAYERSREQUESTED: Colon, Philip J. (MC1962) prays for the McCarthy family2018-Nov-29Good Morning All, We have some wonderful news from Tom McCarthy. Tom's Dad, Big Tom, has been officially declared to be in remission for his Lung Cancer Treatment. The Doctors will continue to monitor Big Tom but it is definitely an improved prognosis. Tom's Dad has been in our prayers over the last year and this news is very special about this good man. Tom and his Family thank you for your prayers and good thoughts. A prayer of thanks would not be remiss as life goes on. Regarding Tom'S Mom, Katie,, your prayers are needed. As Tom says, She has been the rock this past year for his Dad and the Family. Tuesday morning upon waking up, Mrs. McCarthy was exhibiting confusion and difficulties with her speech, ultimately diagnosed with a stroke. After being transferred to Westchester Medical Center, a Thrombectomy was done to remove a Clot wherein they discovered another Clot, removing that as well. She was doing well and the next 24--72 hours would be telling as to what permanent damage, if any, remained. This morning I heard from Tom. His Mom is still in ICU and being closely monitored. Her speech and mobility are extremely limited (she has been able to say a few words and repeat some things back and she is unable to move the right side of her body). Mrs. McCarthy will be in ICU for a few more days at least before they can evaluate her for whatever Rehab and Long Term Care she may need. The Family are keeping up hope that she will rebound more over the next 48 to 72 hours as the Doctors say, the next four days are crucial for indicating what recovery will look like. Please raise the volume for Mrs. McCarthy as we pary that her recovery is strong continues to improve. Please keep Tom, Big Tom, Tom's Sister and the Family in your prayers during this difficjlt time. Once again, Tom and his Family thank you all for you prayers. Thank you. God Bless. Colon, Philip J. (MC1962) # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-29 @ 13:12 |
ADMINISTRIVIA: Wordpress stopped letting me know about comments2018-Nov-30I was doing some site work and discovered this. My apologies to the commenters for the delayed reporting. # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-30 @ 12:27 |
COMMENT: Kenneth Hamilton appreciate the prayers for Hamilton, Kevin [MC2016 RIP]2018-Nov-16 1137RE: JOBIT Hamilton, Kevin [MC2016 RIP] 2018-Sep-28 Hi – thought I’d commented on this earlier – very appreciative of the support of the Manhattan College community. I’m Kevin’s Dad – my wife Nancy is MCO ’85, and my brother, Kevin’s Uncle Christopher Hamilton, is MCO ’87.Kevin was a cherished son indeed, and we are grateful for your prayers for him and for us. (Deacon) Kenneth Hamilton # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-30 @ 12:28 2018-Oct-18 1008 Thank you for your post regarding the death of our beloved son. I just stumbled across it this evening, and we are very touched. Kevin’s Mom Nancy (Grogan) Hamilton is a Jasper, class of 1985, as is his Uncle Christopher Hamilton, class of 1987. We are grateful for the prayers of all, and ask continued prayers both for us and for Kevin. Gratefully, Deacon Kenneth & Nancy Hamilton # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-30 @ 12:35 [JR: Thanks for your kind reply. A technical glitch caused me to miss it. Sorry for your loss.] # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-30 @ 12:36 |
COMMENT: Twomey, John J. (MC1969) thinks I'd “Do the Right Thing”2018-Nov-04 1518POSITRACTION: Man “did the honest thing”; challenge of what would you do John, since you attended Good Shepherd, Manhattan Prep and Manhattan College, you learned to “Do the Right Thing”. You would have returned the money. The Good Brothers taught us well. Twomey, John J. (MC1969) [JR: Thanks for the vote of confidence, but one’s never sure what one will do. That’s why I hope my temptations are all very small in line with my modest abilities. Laugh! ] # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-30 @ 12:33 |
COMMENT: O'Connor, Bob (MC1953) affirms the report2018-Oct-06 1818RE: JOBIT Minervini, Joseph Louis [MC1953 RIP] 2018-Sep-30 John – Joe Minervini was MEMBER OF THE GREAT CLASS OF 1953! O'Connor, Bob (MC1953) [JR: Thanks and sorry for the delay acknowledging your comment.] # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-30 @ 12:40 |
COMMENT: McFadden, Michael J. (MC1973) characterizes the election rhetoric2018-Nov-19 0323RE: ENDNOTE “We, The Sheeple” keep electing either side of the same coin Interesting that they’d characterize THIS election as being “the most important of our lifetime.” I’d have thought they’d reserved that spot for the 2016 election. I guess they’re not that upset about Trump after all, eh? Michael J. McFadden Peace Studies, 1973 [JR: Sorry I missed this but your comment was NOT ONLY overlooked, but it was flagged as spam. Laff! I guess those liberals have a lot of juice.] # - # - # - # - # 2018-Nov-30 @ 12:49 |
ENDNOTE: U.S. media and political class is shocked, shocked ... ... ...2018-Dec-01https://amgreatness.com/2018/11/27/what-is-saudi-arabia-to-us/ What Is Saudi Arabia to Us? By Angelo Codevilla| November 27th, 2018 *** begin quote *** It seems that Saudi Arabia’s rulers murdered an opponent. The U.S. media and political class is shocked, shocked, to find that murder is going on in such precincts. Who did they imagine the Muslim world’s leaders are? Moreover, our chattering class demands that President Trump do whatever it takes to make sure that they do nothing like that again. Do what? Does anyone really think that swapping sheik A for sheik B would improve their kind’s moral standards? Do they have any idea of what keeps A on top of B, what it would take to switch them, or what the repercussions would be in foreign policy? Are they naifs, idiots, or are they just playing with foreign policy to make life a little harder for Trump? What follows is politically incorrect information on what Saudi Arabia is, what role it plays in American politics, and what it means for our foreign policy. Then, I will suggest how American foreign policy from the Founding to around 1910 would deal with today’s Middle East. *** and *** In short, we owe them nothing. Our relationship with Saudi Arabia should flow from our own needs—not theirs—based on the realities of the region. Were John Quincy Adams to whisper in Trump’s ear, he might well say the following: Just as in 1823, when we premised our dealings with Europe by making clear the contrast between the republican principles by which we live and those of monarchical Europe, we should now draw a bright line between our way of life and that of the likes of Saudi Arabia and Iran. Now as then, this is primarily for the American people’s benefit. Now as then, we cannot change others, but must deal with them. We don’t have to like them, and they don’t have to like us. Good diplomacy does not pretend. We will not lower ourselves to asking the Saudis to pretend they have become liberals, nor fool ourselves into thinking that they are on the way to doing so. We have some concurrent interests. Only some. And for our own different reasons. And the concurrence is conditional. There are certain things we can and should do for the Saudis, mainly by limiting Iran’s economy. But for us to do that, the price of oil has to be kept in an acceptable range for a range of allies. Hence we must demand that the Saudis cooperate. We can and should protect the Saudis against major Iranian military moves, especially by providing better missile defense. But we are not going to involve ourselves in trying to put down Shia revolts against Sunni hegemony. In Syria, we have only two interests: limiting Iran’s reach to Israel and safeguarding the Kurds. Any Saudi action that we judge non-supportive of these interests will lead to a reduction of our support in other areas. Above all, we realize that Saudi Arabia is even less a permanent fixture of the international scene than the Soviet Union was. It is even more unstable. Stabilizing it, saving it from the consequences of its congenital dynastic wars, is beyond our capacities, as John Quincy Adams might have said. That is why now, as in 1823, the essence of good American foreign policy is to be very clear about our very few interests, to commit to those, and to let the rest of the world fight their own battles. *** end quote *** A little long to quote, but basically the USA should return to a sane foreign policy. Can’t be the world’s policeman. Nor can we afford to “waste” our blood and treasure tromping around the world making enemies. No secret, I’d like the USA to adopt Switzerland’s foreign policy. Give peace a chance. # - # - # - # - # |